Elon Musk says there could be a 20% chance AI destroys humanity — but we should do it anyway

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Elon Musk is pretty sure AI is worth the risk, even if there’s a 1-in-5 chance the technology turns against humans.

Speaking in a “Great AI Debate” seminar at the four-day Abundance Summit earlier this month, Musk recalculated his previous risk assessment on the technology, saying, “I think there’s some chance that it will end humanity. I probably agree with Geoff Hinton that it’s about 10% or 20% or something like that.”

But, he added: “I think that the probable positive scenario outweighs the negative scenario.”

Musk didn’t mention how he calculated the risk.

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